Is The Farmer’s Almanac is Predicting a Tough West Texas Winter
I am not sure I would mind an arctic cold winter this year. I mean after a record string of 100 plus days this summer, it might just be a great relief. With that in mind, the Farmer's Almanac has released their winter forecast for the winter of 2022-2023.
Before I get into the specifics, I think it only fair to give some background on The Farmer's Almanac. This publication has come out every single year since 1818. Published by Geiger of Lewiston, Maine
So how accurate are weather predictions in the Farmer's Almanac? Of course, meteorologists say the predictions aren't real science. A University of Illionois study found, in fact, the almanac's weather predictions are only accurate about 52% of the time.
They claim they're accurate 80% of the time.
Perhaps you're just as apt to get an accurate prediction from wolly worms or groundhogs. In any event, The Farmer's Almanac claims that they use a very complicated, yet secret, scientific formula to derive their predictions. Part of their "formula" involves solar activity.
We are definitely approaching the solar maximum of magnetic storms and activity.
So with all that in mind, what does The Farmer's Almanac predict for this Winter in West Texas? They say we will be spared the most intense winter weather this year. The coldest winters are expected in the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes and the Northeast. Wait. Aren't they always the coldest places?
In any event, the almanac says the northern part of Texas will see a lot of snow this year. They predict heavy snow into north Texas followed by "bitterly cold air" in early January.
Otherwise, the publication says Texas can expect a "chilly" winter with normal precipitation. They say Winter will end in March. So, that pretty much sounds "normal". I'm really not sure if there is such a thing as "normal" in the weather anymore. I just hope the power stays on.
I think I'll stick with the wooly worms. Has anyone seen a wooly worm yet?